Modeling Co-Movement among Different Agricultural Commodity Markets: A Copula-GARCH Approach
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Influence in commodity markets: Measuring co‐movement globally
This article focuses on a new measure of global co-movement defined as influence: the average partial correlation of one asset with respect to others. The influence of nominal returns and real price cycles of various commodities is computed for the period of January 1968–December 2013. The estimation results show that there is strong co-movement among the average influences of nominal returns o...
متن کاملModeling and predicting of different stock markets with GARCH model
This paper is mainly talking about several volatility models and its ability to predict and capture the distinctive characteristics of conditional variance about the empirical financial data. In my paper, I choose basic GARCH model and two important models of the GARCH family which are E-GARCH model and GJR-GARCH model to estimate. At the same time, in order to acquire the forecasting performan...
متن کاملSpeculative bubbles in agricultural commodity markets
Numerous factors have been proposed in the literature as explaining the recent commodity price movements. In this paper we focus on one of the most widely discussed factors, the impact of speculative bubbles. We investigate whether commodity prices during the spike of 2007–2008 might have deviated from their intrinsic values based on market fundamentals. To do this, we use a bootstrap methodolo...
متن کاملTesting for constant hedge ratios in commodity markets: a multivariate GARCH approach
We develop a new multivariate generalized ARCH (GARCH) parameterization suitable for testing the hypothesis that the optimal futures hedge ratio is constant over time, given that the joint distribution of cash and futures prices is characterized by autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH). The advantage of the new parameterization is that it allows for a flexible form of time-varyin...
متن کاملCommodity and equity markets: Some stylized facts from a copula approach
In this paper, we propose to identify the dependence structure that exists between returns on equity and commodity futures and its development over the past 20 years. The key point is that we do not impose any dependence structure, but let the data select it. To do so, we model the dependence between commodity (metal, agriculture and energy) and stock markets using a flexible approach that allo...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Sustainability
سال: 2020
ISSN: 2071-1050
DOI: 10.3390/su12010393